Donald Trump Will Win Indiana Big! Sixty Percent?

In the last 6 elections Trump has finished above the realclearpolitics average: NY: +5 (58%) PA: +10 (58%) RI: +12 (65%) MD: +9 (57%) CT: +5 (59%) DE: +8 (63%) The averages in Indiana are: Trump 43%, Cruz 32%, and Kasich 15%.  The average "polling to actual" difference from those six states is +8%.  Given … Continue reading Donald Trump Will Win Indiana Big! Sixty Percent?

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The Trump Campaign Will Get Roughly 1,400 Delegates

My previous posting, “How Donald Trump Wins with No Contested Convention”, walked through the next 14 contests (including New York), showing a path to victory for Donald Trump.  I was purposely cautious with New York and the other North Eastern states.  That path to victory included only 68 delegates from New York, but as we … Continue reading The Trump Campaign Will Get Roughly 1,400 Delegates

Who Is a Stronger Candidate Donald Trump or Mitt Romney?

I found an article on the therightscoop.com titled “Even ROMNEY had more delegates than TRUMP at this point in 2012!!”.  Given my recent post, Donald Trump vs Mitt Romney vs John McCain, I thought "Oh no, maybe I was looking at the data wrong", because that is a pretty bold and telling title from the RS. … Continue reading Who Is a Stronger Candidate Donald Trump or Mitt Romney?