Monster Vote in Florida: Early Voting Data Prove Polls are using a Bad Methodology

Republicans are Out Performing Democrats in Florida early voting and out pacing 2012 Republican Early Voting In 2012 Time Magazine and Politico both reported Democrats had an edge on early voting in Florida: Politico Time According to Politico the results were 43% Democrat, 40% Republican and a total of 4.3M ballots were cast or mailed in … Continue reading Monster Vote in Florida: Early Voting Data Prove Polls are using a Bad Methodology

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Can Donald Trump Win Pennsylvania?

The short answer is yes.  After going through some of the recent polling cross tabs, the data is inconsistent among each poll, but they all come out with a similar out come, Trump is losing. How and why he is losing is different from poll to poll.  Some show Republican's turning against him, one claims … Continue reading Can Donald Trump Win Pennsylvania?

Why is Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump not in the latest New Hampshire poll?

I do not know the answer, but it is suspicious to me.  First, let’s look at a recent, but little older New Hampshire poll that shows desired media message that “Trump losing New Hampshire by 15 points!”  This was a WMUR9 Granite State Poll, released on October 19th.  The full poll can be found here: … Continue reading Why is Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump not in the latest New Hampshire poll?

Donald Trump is Winning in Minnesota’s 8th – The Monster Vote

A poll released today gives insight into the "Monster Vote".  It is a congressional poll that shows a small edge for a Republican running for the House of Representatives against a Democrat incumbent in Minnesota's 8th district. The evidence in the poll for the monster vote is found by linking the poll data with some … Continue reading Donald Trump is Winning in Minnesota’s 8th – The Monster Vote

The Trump Campaign Will Get Roughly 1,400 Delegates

My previous posting, “How Donald Trump Wins with No Contested Convention”, walked through the next 14 contests (including New York), showing a path to victory for Donald Trump.  I was purposely cautious with New York and the other North Eastern states.  That path to victory included only 68 delegates from New York, but as we … Continue reading The Trump Campaign Will Get Roughly 1,400 Delegates

Who Is a Stronger Candidate Donald Trump or Mitt Romney?

I found an article on the therightscoop.com titled “Even ROMNEY had more delegates than TRUMP at this point in 2012!!”.  Given my recent post, Donald Trump vs Mitt Romney vs John McCain, I thought "Oh no, maybe I was looking at the data wrong", because that is a pretty bold and telling title from the RS. … Continue reading Who Is a Stronger Candidate Donald Trump or Mitt Romney?