Turnout in Nevada early voting looks great for Trump and I believe it will flip to a red state in this election. In 2016 Clinton won by 20K votes, the entire state went red except for Clark (Las Vegas) and Washoe (Reno) counties: In Washoe, Trump lost by roughly 2,500 votes despite higher Republican turnout, … Continue reading Nevada Is Turning Red In 2020

In 2016 when Trump upset Hillary in Michigan, according to exit polls the only age Demographic she carried was the 18-29 group, the so-called youths. 2016 Election Age Demographics 2016Age GroupElectorate:ClintonTrump18-2921%57%34%30-4421%44%48%45-6439%44%52%65+19%47%51% Things are different in 2020, the seniors could break for Biden or who knows what, but the trend of age Demos are way off … Continue reading Youth Turnout in Michigan Appears to be WAY Down in Mail In Ballots

A few historical data points to set the table: In 2016 Hillary won Nevada: 539,260 to 512,058factoring in other candidates it was 47.9% to 45.5%Dems had a lead in registration: 668,699 (Dems) to 548,964 (Reps) and 468,744 (Inds)Reps had an edge in turnout: 74% (Reps) to 68% (Dems) and 58% (Inds) From all kinds of … Continue reading Nevada Poll Has Very Interesting Data, Great News for Republicans

Since 2016, Trump has not lost any significant support, in fact, in the Republican party alone I know he has gained support. If Trump would have received the never-Trump vote in 2016, for example, he would probably have won Minnesota and maybe some other places. This time around you have Ben Shaprio, Glenn Beck, and … Continue reading 2020 Voter Turnout – Early Voting and Mail-In Ballots

Towards the end of March, New York City appeared to be following in the footsteps of Italy's hardest hit region, the Lombardy Province. While New York City is, by far, the worst area of the United States, it still did not reach the levels of Lombardy.  The New York City Metro area is much denser … Continue reading New York Coronavirus Peak – Not as Bad as Lombardy Italy

Inspired by Victor Davis Hansen, who wrote an article about California potentially having the virus for months, I decided to see if there is a resemblance in the data being reported that would support his theory. First, according to the California Influenza Surveillance Program (the California Department of Health), starting in early December, there were … Continue reading Does Temperature Factor Into How The Chinese Coronavirus Spreads?

Looking at the daily death tallies for Italy and the United States, in some ways it appears we are following their trend, just lagging two weeks behind: Lombardy, Italy's hardest hit region (by far): 9,206 square miles and roughly 10,000,000 people, 25,515 cases and 3,095 deaths (as of 3/22/2020) New York City Metro area, United … Continue reading Digging in to the Chinese Coronavirus Data – New York Compared to Italy

Everyone knows (at least we should know) that a presidential poll taken over a year before an election, especially before there is even a good indication on who will be running on the Democrat side, should not be taken seriously.  The Sept. 2-5, 2019 Washington Post-ABC News Poll is no exception, but we can see … Continue reading Sept. 2-5, 2019 Washington Post-ABC News Poll is a Joke

Harry Truman was the last president to deliver a major "first mid-term" election victory.  His Democrat party picked up 75 house seats and 9 in the senate.  Since then, George W. Bush was the only president to make net gains in both chambers of Congress (7 in the House and 2 in the Senate) in … Continue reading Historical Perspective – President Trumps Republican Party is Strong After Mid-Term Battle

Republicans hold a slight edge over Democrat voters in Pinellas County Florida, the distance between the two parties is slowly widening Republicans get home from work: