Can Donald Trump Win Pennsylvania?

The short answer is yes.  After going through some of the recent polling cross tabs, the data is inconsistent among each poll, but they all come out with a similar out come, Trump is losing. How and why he is losing is different from poll to poll.  Some show Republican's turning against him, one claims … Continue reading Can Donald Trump Win Pennsylvania?

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Latest Michigan Emerson Poll Is Bogus

On October 28th Emerson released a Michigan poll showing Clinton beating Trump 50 to 43: At face level, this poll shows Trump is within striking distance, he is closer than Romney or McCain were with Michigan.  Romney lost by 9.5% and McCain lost by 16%. However, Trumps chances are much better than this poll claims. … Continue reading Latest Michigan Emerson Poll Is Bogus

Why is Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump not in the latest New Hampshire poll?

I do not know the answer, but it is suspicious to me.  First, let’s look at a recent, but little older New Hampshire poll that shows desired media message that “Trump losing New Hampshire by 15 points!”  This was a WMUR9 Granite State Poll, released on October 19th.  The full poll can be found here: … Continue reading Why is Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump not in the latest New Hampshire poll?

Donald Trump is Winning in Minnesota’s 8th – The Monster Vote

A poll released today gives insight into the "Monster Vote".  It is a congressional poll that shows a small edge for a Republican running for the House of Representatives against a Democrat incumbent in Minnesota's 8th district. The evidence in the poll for the monster vote is found by linking the poll data with some … Continue reading Donald Trump is Winning in Minnesota’s 8th – The Monster Vote