A poll released today gives insight into the “Monster Vote”. It is a congressional poll that shows a small edge for a Republican running for the House of Representatives against a Democrat incumbent in Minnesota’s 8th district.
The evidence in the poll for the monster vote is found by linking the poll data with some historical information. The polls headline is that the Republican is winning by 4 points, but reading into the article (http://kstp.com/politics/stewart-mills-rick-nolan-8th-congressional-race-kstp-survey-usa-poll/4299301/) you find some good nuggets of information, three big factors:
- Trump is beating Hillary by 12 points: “Our poll shows Republican Donald Trump with a 12-point lead over Clinton, 47 percent to 35 percent“
- Trump is winning with women: “leading Clinton 41 percent to 39 percent.”
- Dems are crossing over: “the number of Democrats dropped from 34 percent in 2014 to 27 percent in 2016. The number of independents jumped from 31 percent two years ago to 41 percent this year.“
You may say, this is one congressional district and it does not represent the whole country. Right it does not, but it does represent old fashion Democrats. Democrats who do not really support the party’s position on social issues, but have traditionally voted for Democrats because they believed the Democrat was for the “worker”. This district could be a microcosm of Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Illinois, Wisconsin, and Iowa. According to Wikipedia, Minnesota’s 8th district has voted Democrat for the past 4 presidential elections, so why would it be polling +12 for Trump???
whatthedatasays 
This country has been militarily weakened, we’re bankrupt, our enemies are making fun of us, our friends doubting us. We are being invaded by illegals, we are becoming a nation of victims, where every Tom, Ricardo and Hasid is a special group with special rights to a point where we don’t even recognize the country we were born and raised in, AND WE JUST WANT IT FIXED. And Donald Trump is the only guy who seems to understand what the people want!
We’re sick of politicians, sick of the Democrat and Republican Parties. We’re angry about the Iran deal, the budget, out of control government spending, treatment of Israel, military weakness, lobbyists, special interests, overpaid politicians with their self-serving bills and back room deals, trade deals with foreign countries extremely unfair to us, loss of jobs, manipulated economic numbers, businesses fleeing our country, and the phony pay for play money laundering Clinton Foundation.
Americans are no longer going to be fooled, and there is a movement underway to change the direction we’re taking. Mr. Trump may not be a saint, but he doesn’t have lobbyist money holding him, he doesn’t have political correctness restraining him, and all you know is that he has been very successful, a good negotiator, he has built a lot of things, created a lot of jobs, he’s flexible, and he’s also not a politician. And he says he’ll fix it. And we believe him because he is too much of an egotist to be proven wrong or looked at and called a liar.
LikeLiked by 11 people
Amen
LikeLiked by 2 people
Clive, that was brilliant. I have a Ph.D. and have taught at university. But you have expressed better than I ever could have what I myself have been thinking for over a year now. Well done! You are a gifted writer.
LikeLiked by 1 person
@ Clive Hoskin.
Thanks Clive you have articulated the nations concern admirably, (maybe not the DNCs, but the nation as a whole)
LikeLiked by 1 person
Here’s why we want Trump. Yes he’s a bit of an ass, yes he’s an egomaniac but we don’t care. The country is a mess because its politicians suck. The Republican Party is two-faced & gutless, and illegals are everywhere. We want it all fixed! We don’t care Trump is crude, we don’t care he insults people, we don’t care he’d been friendly with Hillary, we don’t care he’s changed positions, we don’t care he’s been married 3 times, we don’t care he fights with Megyn Kelly and Rosie O’Donnell, we don’t care he doesn’t know the name of some Muslin terrorist.
This country is bankrupt and appears weak. Our enemies are making fun of us, we’re being invaded by illegals, we’re becoming a nation of victims where every Tom, Ricardo and Hasid is a special group with special rights to a point where we don’t even recognize the country we were born and raised in. “WE JUST WANT IT FIXED” and Trump is the only guy who seems to understand what the people want.
We’re sick of our politicians, sick of the Republican Party, sick of Democratic Party and sick of illegals. We just want this thing fixed. Trump may not be a saint but doesn’t have lobbyist’s money holding him, doesn’t have political correctness restraining him, all you know is he’s been very successful, a good negotiator. He has built a lot of things. He’s not a politician, not a cowardly politically correct politician. And he not only says he can fix it, he says he will fix it and we believe him.
And we believe him because he’s too much of an egotist to be proven wrong or looked at and called a liar. Also we don’t care if the guy has bad hair.
LikeLiked by 5 people
I’ll pick crude over corrupt any day.
LikeLiked by 2 people
If these numbers have some semblance of accuracy, the most likely result is that the dfl (D) rep Nolan easily wins re-election (he’s not tied to obamacare–the biggest issue in this district based on the poll and he has of late been parroting the economic nationalism of Trump) and Trump, if he is up 12 points (or even 10) squeaks out a 2 or 3 point advantage. This part of MN is indian country–lots of reservation land–and the DFL owns this district (duluth) so their gotv operation and network is a well oiled machine–as deeply embedded in the roots of the community as it is in places like chicago and philly. If Trump does come out on top here, it’ll be because a very large number of dems voted for him. W. Bush, McCain and Romney all lost by single digit margins here the last 4 elections.
LikeLiked by 1 person
Pingback: THIS IS HUGE: TRUMP UP BY 12 in MN Working Class District! And Dems Going Independent – LibertyHeadquarters.com
Pingback: Flight 93 Election: Play by Play… (2) | The Deus Ex Machina Blog
Pingback: THIS IS HUGE: TRUMP UP BY 12 in MN Working Class District! And Dems Going Independent - Urban Newsletter
Pingback: BREAKING : Trump up by 12 Points in a HEAVILY Democrat District in Minnesota | Follow Trump
Pingback: Trump +12 in...NE Minnesota? - Hotgas.net
Pingback: WHOA: TRUMP UP BY 12 in Minnesota Working Class District! And Dems Are Going Independent | Cosmo Politics
I think of myself as the average guy, im not so heavenly minded im no unearthly good. Im not overly educated to think physical labor and sweat are beneath me. No one has given me anything . Ive taken my own way usually or often the right way for me. Most of my mistakes were when i was starting out. I was raised as a Democrat . Taught to believe that what was best for Americans families was what was best for America . A life long union member , im oa honorary lifetime member . This means i am on pension. I can certify i voted for Reagan . Im not led by a ring in my nose. I generally havea judgement bettween good and best . I deeply care about my country and future generations . Ive spent my lifetime building Americab. Why would i tear it down further by more anti-American politicians put in office by my vote.? Pres. Zero and Hillary both have shown the public they are liars and thiefs . Im voting for Trump cause he loves America and wants America to be strong and put the welfare of its citizens and families before the welfare of foreign people. Im an American and im with Trump cause he stands for me and my fellow citizensMAGA 2016/2020 I dont think it strange at all for Democrats to vote Trump I think its about average and to be exspected seeing were under the circumstances
LikeLiked by 2 people
I’m a registered Democrat who stopped voting Democrat after the primary season in 2008. I will never vote Democrat again. I realize that my working class background is what most believe to be prime Democrat turf, but after purchasing my first home in 1999, and getting to experience the high property tax rates of New Jersey, I realized that big spending progressive Democrats were the bane of working class and middle class people. The Democrats suck the life out of any group that they control. They are greedy with other people’s money under the false pretense that they stand with the working man. Well, I have some news for them. I know what’s best for me better than they do, and I also know what a budget is, and Democrat policies make it very difficult to live within one. As far as I am concerned, big government and the liars who populate it, need to disappear. #draintheswamp
LikeLike
Pingback: BREAKING MAINE POLL: “Working-Class” Solid Democrat District…Trump +12…WINS WOMEN, Trump 41, Hillary 39 - RepublicaNation News - America is Great!
Pingback: Trump battles on | Orphans of Liberty
Pingback: A Minnesota Trumpocolypse? Updated for the Final Weekend! - Hotgas.net
Pingback: Will Republicans Win Senate Seats in Wisconsin and Minnesota? | whatthedatasays