In 2016, Trump surprised a lot of people (not me, see here, here, and here) by winning Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania and was close to taking Minnesota (he lost it by 1.5%).  The reason for surprise?  Look at the following polling data from the 2016 election cycle vs the actual result, they were not close. … Continue reading Will Republicans Win Senate Seats in Wisconsin and Minnesota?

CNN has a new "generic congressional" poll out that states the Democrats will win back the house: Specifically with the CNN poll, of the 1003 people CNN questioned, Democrats were talked to more than Republicans (by 9 points, 34% dem, 25% rep, 40% neither), so it is no shock that the Dems won the poll … Continue reading Generic Congressional Polls – What Do They Mean?

The August jobs report showed good numbers in both the number of new jobs (+200K) and increased wages (up 2.9%).  The average pay went up $0.77 per hour to $27.16, which is roughly $1500 per year, but that is only half of the story. If you combine the wage increase and the tax cuts, you … Continue reading Rising Wages Plus The Tax Cuts

Obsessing over polling headlines, the drudgereport.com has been hyping up the "blue wave" and specifically targeting Ted Cruz in Texas, for example: Drudge also headlined the other day something about Cruz being in "the fight of his life", which is odd, I thought running (and losing) against Trump in 2016 would have been a bigger … Continue reading Texas Senate Race, Ted Cruz Will Win and the Problem With The Polls

With a little over 3 months before the mid-term elections, the fake news is ramping up phony narratives to create more "anti-Trump" rage, which of course is reflected in all the polls showing Republicans losing control of the House of Representatives. The same tactic was used during 2016.  If you think back to that time, … Continue reading Polls Showing Democrats Winning The House Resemble 2016 Presidential Polls

From some ocean front property in Arizona a visible blue wave formed yesterday.  Similar to the Florida primary, the Republicans turned out over 100K more voters than the Democrats, the results show that the turnout percentages are similar to the 2016 presidential election.  Remember Arizona was a tossup  leading up to the 2016 election...and then … Continue reading Blue Wave Flop in Arizona Primary – Republicans Turnout 100K More Voters

Tonight there was a blue wave in Florida.  With 99.5% of the vote in, Republicans turned out 117,000 more voters than Democrats.  That is roughly the amount that now President Trump beat Hillary by in 2016.

I agree with this line of thinking: reason the media is dumping so much gas on Omarosa's book and peddling the "Trump is racist" narrative is Trumps rising approval among black voters.  Historically, Democrats enjoy a stranglehold on black voters, it is not an exaggeration to say 90% (or more) of their votes go to … Continue reading The Black Vote – What If Trump Breaks the Democrats Monopoly On It

So, is Mueller a good guy, a bad guy, or neutral?  If he is neutral, that is okay because neutral means he should go where the facts are.  I lean toward him being neutral, but I am not sure what this news about getting Trumps bank records is.  I do not know what it means … Continue reading Mueller’s Investigation Vs Trump’s Base

  I am trying to determine what things in the news are spontaneous and original, what are reactions to other news and what is artificial and coordinated.  For example, Moore’s accusers appeared to be original, but given what we know and how things played out, they were obviously coordinated.  Lots of us suspected that from … Continue reading Coordinated Attacks on Trump Obstruction of Justice